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Calls graded · all time
5-Influencer Preview
Hit rate is the share of graded calls they got right. Hover a card to zoom in.
1stRanked75% accurateNick FuentesCommentator · America First36 right, 12 wrong on graded calls · 87 still openRIGHTHamas will reject the Trump peace proposalOpen the record
2ndRanked72% accurateHasan PikerStreamer · Politics26 right, 10 wrong on graded calls · 77 still openRIGHTThe New Jersey 12th congressional seat will open because Bonnie Watson Coleman is retiringOpen the record
3rdRanked70% accurateGlenn GreenwaldJournalist · System Update17 right, 7 wrong on graded calls · 27 still openRIGHTTrump will likely claim within 2-4 months that Iran violated the agreement, leading to renewed US bombingOpen the record
4thRanked48% accurateKyle KulinskiPodcaster · Secular Talk12 right, 13 wrong on graded calls · 96 still openWRONGGraham Platner will defeat Susan Collins in the Maine Senate raceOpen the record
Not ranked yetRanks at 10 graded callsTucker CarlsonHost · TCN1 right, 1 wrong on graded calls · 15 still openRIGHTIf the Iranian regime survives the conflict, Iran will likely control passage through the Strait of HormuzOpen the record
Top Resolved Predictions
The most consequential calls reality has already settled.
Top calls
5 most consequential · tap to expand
Next major resolution event
The 2026 Midterms
One night settles dozens of open calls: every House seat, a third of the Senate, and the wagers our figures have already staked on them.
Polls close in
Tue · Nov 3, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET
Competitive-seat ratings via Wikipedia
Who's backing whom · 3 figures on the record
Hover a figure for their calls
Staked on Democrats3 voices
Staked on Republicans0 voicesNo tracked figure is betting this way.
“Republicans will lose the House in the 2026 midterms.”
U.S. House87% Dem control
“Republicans get slaughtered in the midterms because of the war.”
Pending Predictions
Open calls priced live by Polymarket, longshots first. Reality grades these next.
Nick FuentesIran War“Trump will topple the Iranian regime if Iran does not meet US demands on missiles, proxies, and nuclear program”
was 31% when they called it · Feb 4
Kyle KulinskiEpstein Files“Trump will pardon Ghislaine Maxwell”
was 10% when they called it · Feb 21
Nick FuentesPresidential Election“JD Vance will win the presidency and serve two terms from 2029 to 2037”
was 28% when they called it · Oct 25
Hasan PikerMidterms“Susan Collins will most likely lose her Senate seat, flipping it from Republican to Democrat”
was 77% when they called it · Apr 30